Adana Adaletgucuvs
Ankaragücü
COMPLETEDTurkey · Türkiye Kupası · 10/27/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Adana Adaletgucu · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Adana Adaletgucu 1-2 Ankaragücü
Original prediction
Adana Adaletgucu
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 11 October 2026 at 01:57 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.54 | 16.3% | 37.5% | 21.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.39 | 20.6% | 25.1% | 4.5 pts |
| Away | 1.43 | 63.1% | 37.3% | -25.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
21.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Adana Adaletgucu
Probability
37.5%
Model confidence
37.5%
Adana Adaletgucu has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40