GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 4/25/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Weston Bears · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3

Lowconfidence

Adamstown Rosebuds are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Weston Bears are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Weston Bears hold a 22.3-point power-rating edge (40.1 v 62.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.1% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Weston Bears holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Weston Bears

Probability

64.7%

Model confidence

8.1%

Weston Bears has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Adamstown RosebudsWLDDD

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Weston BearsWWLWW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Adamstown RosebudsWeston Bears
49.2Attack76.2
31.7Defence47.6
33.3Form63.5
40.1Power62.4
1.59xG3.13
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