GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 4/25/2024, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Weston Bears · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3

Highconfidence

Adamstown Rosebuds are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Weston Bears are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Weston Bears hold a 22.3-point power-rating edge (40.1 v 62.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.0% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Weston Bears holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Weston Bears

Probability

63.0%

Model confidence

63.0%

Weston Bears has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Adamstown RosebudsLDDLL

GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Weston BearsLLWLL

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Adamstown RosebudsWeston Bears
49.2Attack76.2
31.7Defence47.6
33.3Form63.5
40.1Power62.4
1.59xG3.13
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