GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 3/9/2024, 3:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Adamstown Rosebuds · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Adamstown Rosebuds are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Valentine are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 40.1 against 40.1. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.1% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Adamstown Rosebuds holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Adamstown Rosebuds

Probability

49.1%

Model confidence

49.1%

Adamstown Rosebuds has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Adamstown RosebudsLLWDL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
ValentineWWLWL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
Adamstown RosebudsValentine
49.2Attack34.9
31.7Defence38.1
33.3Form39.7
40.1Power40.1
2.00xG1.35
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