GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 3/16/2024, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Adamstown Rosebuds · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Adamstown Rosebuds are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while New Lambton are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Adamstown Rosebuds hold a 16.5-point power-rating edge (40.1 v 23.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.9% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Adamstown Rosebuds holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Adamstown Rosebuds

Probability

64.9%

Model confidence

64.9%

Adamstown Rosebuds has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Adamstown RosebudsLLLWD

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
New LambtonLLLWL

GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Adamstown RosebudsNew Lambton
49.2Attack37.9
31.7Defence7.6
33.3Form18.2
40.1Power23.6
2.98xG1.39
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