GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 8/13/2023, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Maitland · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Adamstown Rosebuds are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Maitland are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Maitland hold a 19.9-point power-rating edge (40.1 v 60.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.7% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Maitland holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Maitland

Probability

54.7%

Model confidence

54.7%

Maitland has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Adamstown RosebudsDLLDL

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
MaitlandLDWWW

GF 16 · GA 3 · avg 3.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Adamstown RosebudsMaitland
49.2Attack60.3
31.7Defence50.8
33.3Form61.9
40.1Power60.0
1.50xG2.46
View match centre →