GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 4/11/2026, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Maitland · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Adamstown Rosebuds are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Maitland are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Maitland hold a 19.9-point power-rating edge (40.1 v 60.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.7% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Maitland holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Maitland

Probability

54.7%

Model confidence

54.7%

Maitland has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Adamstown RosebudsDDDLL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
MaitlandLWDWL

GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Adamstown RosebudsMaitland
49.2Attack60.3
31.7Defence50.8
33.3Form61.9
40.1Power60.0
1.50xG2.46
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