GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 2/28/2025, 9:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Maitland · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Adamstown Rosebuds are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Maitland are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Maitland hold a 19.9-point power-rating edge (40.1 v 60.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.7% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Maitland holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Maitland

Probability

54.7%

Model confidence

54.7%

Maitland has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Adamstown RosebudsWLLLL

GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
MaitlandLDLLD

GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Adamstown RosebudsMaitland
49.2Attack60.3
31.7Defence50.8
33.3Form61.9
40.1Power60.0
1.50xG2.46
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