GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 4/15/2023, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lambton Jaffas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Adamstown Rosebuds are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Lambton Jaffas are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Lambton Jaffas hold a 6.1-point power-rating edge (40.1 v 46.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.0% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Lambton Jaffas holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lambton Jaffas

Probability

47.0%

Model confidence

47.0%

Lambton Jaffas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Adamstown RosebudsLLLWD

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Lambton JaffasWWWDL

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Adamstown RosebudsLambton Jaffas
49.2Attack57.1
31.7Defence47.6
33.3Form34.9
40.1Power46.2
1.68xG2.22
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