GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 3/18/2023, 3:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Adamstown Rosebuds · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Adamstown Rosebuds are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (DL), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Lake Macquarie are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 1.50 scored and 3.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 4 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Adamstown Rosebuds hold a 25.2-point power-rating edge (40.1 v 14.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 72.2% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Adamstown Rosebuds holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Adamstown Rosebuds

Probability

72.2%

Model confidence

72.2%

Adamstown Rosebuds has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Adamstown RosebudsDL

GF 1 · GA 2 · avg 0.50/1.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 0/2
Lake MacquarieLL

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 1.50/3.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Adamstown RosebudsLake Macquarie
49.2Attack30.3
31.7Defence0.0
33.3Form6.1
40.1Power14.9
3.06xG1.08
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