GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 6/29/2024, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Adamstown Rosebuds · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Adamstown Rosebuds are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 4.00 conceded, while Lake Macquarie are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Adamstown Rosebuds hold a 25.2-point power-rating edge (40.1 v 14.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 72.2% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Adamstown Rosebuds holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Adamstown Rosebuds

Probability

72.2%

Model confidence

72.2%

Adamstown Rosebuds has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Adamstown RosebudsLWWLL

GF 7 · GA 20 · avg 1.40/4.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Lake MacquarieLLLLL

GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Adamstown RosebudsLake Macquarie
49.2Attack30.3
31.7Defence0.0
33.3Form6.1
40.1Power14.9
3.06xG1.08
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