GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 7/1/2023, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hamilton Olympic · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Adamstown Rosebuds are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Hamilton Olympic are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Hamilton Olympic hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (40.1 v 44.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.3% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Hamilton Olympic holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hamilton Olympic

Probability

45.3%

Model confidence

45.3%

Hamilton Olympic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Adamstown RosebudsLWLWL

GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Hamilton OlympicLLLWD

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Adamstown RosebudsHamilton Olympic
49.2Attack61.9
31.7Defence39.7
33.3Form33.3
40.1Power44.3
1.94xG2.40
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