GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 5/6/2023, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Edgeworth Eagles · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Adamstown Rosebuds are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Edgeworth Eagles are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Edgeworth Eagles hold a 22.0-point power-rating edge (40.1 v 62.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.1% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Edgeworth Eagles holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Edgeworth Eagles

Probability

59.1%

Model confidence

59.1%

Edgeworth Eagles has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Adamstown RosebudsLDLLL

GF 3 · GA 15 · avg 0.60/3.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Edgeworth EaglesWDWWL

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Adamstown RosebudsEdgeworth Eagles
49.2Attack63.5
31.7Defence54.0
33.3Form61.9
40.1Power62.1
1.40xG2.60
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