GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 6/24/2023, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Adamstown Rosebuds · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Adamstown Rosebuds are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Charlestown City Blues are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Adamstown Rosebuds hold an 11.8-point power-rating edge (40.1 v 28.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.8% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Adamstown Rosebuds holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Adamstown Rosebuds

Probability

61.8%

Model confidence

61.8%

Adamstown Rosebuds has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Adamstown RosebudsWLWLL

GF 9 · GA 14 · avg 1.80/2.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Charlestown City BluesWWLWD

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Adamstown RosebudsCharlestown City Blues
49.2Attack39.7
31.7Defence14.3
33.3Form22.2
40.1Power28.4
2.88xG1.48
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