GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 3/2/2024, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Adamstown Rosebuds · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Adamstown Rosebuds are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Charlestown City Blues are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Adamstown Rosebuds hold an 11.8-point power-rating edge (40.1 v 28.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.8% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Adamstown Rosebuds holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Adamstown Rosebuds

Probability

61.8%

Model confidence

61.8%

Adamstown Rosebuds has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Adamstown RosebudsWDLLD

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Charlestown City BluesWLWLW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Adamstown RosebudsCharlestown City Blues
49.2Attack39.7
31.7Defence14.3
33.3Form22.2
40.1Power28.4
2.88xG1.48
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