GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 4/29/2023, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Broadmeadow Magic · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3

Highconfidence

Adamstown Rosebuds are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Broadmeadow Magic are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Broadmeadow Magic hold a 31.7-point power-rating edge (40.1 v 71.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 76.3% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Broadmeadow Magic holds the strongest overall chance at 76% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Broadmeadow Magic

Probability

76.3%

Model confidence

76.3%

Broadmeadow Magic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Adamstown RosebudsDLLLL

GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Broadmeadow MagicDDLWW

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Adamstown RosebudsBroadmeadow Magic
49.2Attack81.0
31.7Defence63.5
33.3Form73.0
40.1Power71.8
1.08xG3.41
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