GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 7/27/2025, 4:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Belmont Swansea · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

Adamstown Rosebuds are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Belmont Swansea are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Belmont Swansea hold a 15.6-point power-rating edge (40.1 v 55.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.7% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Belmont Swansea holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 82% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Belmont Swansea

Probability

51.7%

Model confidence

51.7%

Belmont Swansea has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Adamstown RosebudsLDLLW

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Belmont SwanseaDLLLL

GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Adamstown RosebudsBelmont Swansea
49.2Attack71.4
31.7Defence34.9
33.3Form55.6
40.1Power55.7
2.01xG2.88
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