Adama Kenemavs
Sheger Ketema
COMPLETEDEthiopia · Premier League · 10/16/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Adama Kenema 0-0 Sheger Ketema, with an exact score probability of 27%.
Prediction record
Final result
Adama Kenema 0-0 Sheger Ketema
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 22:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.87 | 31.3% | 31.8% | 0.5 pts |
| Draw | 2.63 | 34.2% | 34.2% | 0.0 pts |
| Away | 2.61 | 34.5% | 34.0% | -0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.63 · Draw 1.63 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.0 pts
Projected Score
Adama Kenema 0–0 Sheger Ketema
Exact score probability: 27%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
34.2%
Model confidence
34.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Adama KenemaNo completed matches
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00
BTTS 0/0O2.5 0/0
Sheger KetemaW
GF 1 · GA 0 · avg 1.00/0.00
BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
Adama KenemaSheger Ketema
50.0Attack33.3
50.0Defence100.0
50.0Form100.0
50.0Power80.3
0.65xG0.71