GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 8/20/2023, 5:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AD Sarchí · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

AD Sarchí are 1W-0D-3L in their last 4 (WLLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Puerto Golfito are 0W-0D-3L in their last 3 (LLL), averaging 0.33 scored and 3.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 7 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and AD Sarchí hold a 71.0-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 9.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 82.9% in the Liga de Ascenso, while AD Sarchí holds the strongest overall chance at 83% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AD Sarchí

Probability

82.9%

Model confidence

82.9%

AD Sarchí has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AD SarchíWLLL

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 4/4O2.5 4/4
Puerto GolfitoLLL

GF 1 · GA 10 · avg 0.33/3.33

BTTS 1/3O2.5 3/3
AD SarchíPuerto Golfito
66.7Attack9.3
66.7Defence0.0
100.0Form1.9
80.3Power9.3
3.15xG0.61
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