GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 4/12/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AD Sarchí · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

AD Sarchí are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Municipal Grecia are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and AD Sarchí hold a 36.3-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 44.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.5% in the Liga de Ascenso, while AD Sarchí holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AD Sarchí

Probability

60.5%

Model confidence

60.5%

AD Sarchí has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AD SarchíLLWLD

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Municipal GreciaWLDDL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
AD SarchíMunicipal Grecia
66.7Attack58.3
66.7Defence28.1
100.0Form42.7
80.3Power44.0
2.65xG1.37
View match centre →