GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 2/16/2025, 5:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AD Sarchí · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

AD Sarchí are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Municipal Grecia are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and AD Sarchí hold a 36.3-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 44.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.5% in the Liga de Ascenso, while AD Sarchí holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AD Sarchí

Probability

60.5%

Model confidence

60.5%

AD Sarchí has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AD SarchíWWWWL

GF 17 · GA 6 · avg 3.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Municipal GreciaDLWWW

GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
AD SarchíMunicipal Grecia
66.7Attack58.3
66.7Defence28.1
100.0Form42.7
80.3Power44.0
2.65xG1.37
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