GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 2/21/2024, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Marineros de Puntarenas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

AD Sarchí are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Marineros de Puntarenas are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and AD Sarchí hold a 21.2-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 59.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.4% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Marineros de Puntarenas holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Marineros de Puntarenas

Probability

36.4%

Model confidence

36.4%

Marineros de Puntarenas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AD SarchíLLWWW

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Marineros de PuntarenasDDWWL

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
AD SarchíMarineros de Puntarenas
66.7Attack61.8
66.7Defence59.8
100.0Form55.9
80.3Power59.1
1.43xG1.51
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