GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 11/5/2023, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Marineros de Puntarenas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

AD Sarchí are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Marineros de Puntarenas are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and AD Sarchí hold a 21.2-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 59.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.4% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Marineros de Puntarenas holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Marineros de Puntarenas

Probability

36.4%

Model confidence

36.4%

Marineros de Puntarenas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AD SarchíLLWWL

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Marineros de PuntarenasWWWWW

GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
AD SarchíMarineros de Puntarenas
66.7Attack61.8
66.7Defence59.8
100.0Form55.9
80.3Power59.1
1.43xG1.51
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