Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AD Sarchí · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
AD Sarchí are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Jacó are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and AD Sarchí hold a 51.2-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 29.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.5% in the Liga de Ascenso, while AD Sarchí holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
AD Sarchí
Probability
70.5%
Model confidence
70.5%
AD Sarchí has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00