GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 11/24/2024, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AD Sarchí · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

AD Sarchí are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Guadalupe FC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and AD Sarchí hold a 15.5-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.9% in the Liga de Ascenso, while AD Sarchí holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AD Sarchí

Probability

43.9%

Model confidence

43.9%

AD Sarchí has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AD SarchíLLDWW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Guadalupe FCDWLLL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
AD SarchíGuadalupe FC
66.7Attack66.7
66.7Defence50.0
100.0Form66.7
80.3Power64.8
1.73xG1.31
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