GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 4/20/2025, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AD Sarchí · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

AD Sarchí are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Escorpiones Belén are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and AD Sarchí hold a 21.4-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 58.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.1% in the Liga de Ascenso, while AD Sarchí holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AD Sarchí

Probability

40.1%

Model confidence

40.1%

AD Sarchí has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AD SarchíLWWWL

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Escorpiones BelénWWLWL

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
AD SarchíEscorpiones Belén
66.7Attack76.7
66.7Defence42.5
100.0Form58.3
80.3Power58.9
2.05xG1.87
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