GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 3/21/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AD Sarchí · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

AD Sarchí are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Deportivo Upala are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and AD Sarchí hold a 41.8-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 38.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.2% in the Liga de Ascenso, while AD Sarchí holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AD Sarchí

Probability

62.2%

Model confidence

62.2%

AD Sarchí has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AD SarchíLDWLL

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Deportivo UpalaLLDDL

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AD SarchíDeportivo Upala
66.7Attack62.5
66.7Defence22.9
100.0Form31.3
80.3Power38.5
2.88xG1.46
View match centre →