GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 9/9/2025, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AD Sarchí · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

AD Sarchí are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Deportivo Upala are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 3.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and AD Sarchí hold a 41.8-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 38.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.2% in the Liga de Ascenso, while AD Sarchí holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AD Sarchí

Probability

62.2%

Model confidence

62.2%

AD Sarchí has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AD SarchíWWLLL

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Deportivo UpalaLWWWW

GF 19 · GA 7 · avg 3.80/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
AD SarchíDeportivo Upala
66.7Attack62.5
66.7Defence22.9
100.0Form31.3
80.3Power38.5
2.88xG1.46
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