GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 3/23/2025, 5:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AD Sarchí · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

AD Sarchí are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Deportivo Upala are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLD), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and AD Sarchí hold a 41.8-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 38.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.2% in the Liga de Ascenso, while AD Sarchí holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AD Sarchí

Probability

62.2%

Model confidence

62.2%

AD Sarchí has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AD SarchíLDWDW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Deportivo UpalaDWWLD

GF 17 · GA 8 · avg 3.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
AD SarchíDeportivo Upala
66.7Attack62.5
66.7Defence22.9
100.0Form31.3
80.3Power38.5
2.88xG1.46
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