GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 8/25/2024, 5:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AD Sarchí · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

AD Sarchí are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Deportivo Upala are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (LLD), averaging 0.33 scored and 1.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and AD Sarchí hold a 41.8-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 38.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.2% in the Liga de Ascenso, while AD Sarchí holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AD Sarchí

Probability

62.2%

Model confidence

62.2%

AD Sarchí has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AD SarchíDWDWL

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Deportivo UpalaLLD

GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.33/1.33

BTTS 1/3O2.5 0/3
AD SarchíDeportivo Upala
66.7Attack62.5
66.7Defence22.9
100.0Form31.3
80.3Power38.5
2.88xG1.46
View match centre →