GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 4/20/2024, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AD Sarchí · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

AD Sarchí are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while CS Uruguay are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and AD Sarchí hold a 43.8-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.0% in the Liga de Ascenso, while AD Sarchí holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AD Sarchí

Probability

52.0%

Model confidence

52.0%

AD Sarchí has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AD SarchíDDWWW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
CS UruguayDDDLL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
AD SarchíCS Uruguay
66.7Attack33.3
66.7Defence50.0
100.0Form16.7
80.3Power36.5
1.86xG1.07
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