GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 10/1/2023, 5:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AD Sarchí · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

AD Sarchí are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while AS Puma Generalena are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 6.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and AD Sarchí hold a 72.6-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 7.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 75.6% in the Liga de Ascenso, while AD Sarchí holds the strongest overall chance at 76% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AD Sarchí

Probability

75.6%

Model confidence

75.6%

AD Sarchí has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AD SarchíLWLDD

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
AS Puma GeneralenaL

GF 0 · GA 6 · avg 0.00/6.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 1/1
AD SarchíAS Puma Generalena
66.7Attack4.8
66.7Defence0.0
100.0Form0.0
80.3Power7.7
2.78xG0.76
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