Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AD Sarchí · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
AD Sarchí are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Antioquia are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and AD Sarchí hold a 36.2-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 44.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.8% in the Liga de Ascenso, while AD Sarchí holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
AD Sarchí
Probability
56.8%
Model confidence
56.8%
AD Sarchí has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60