Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AD Sarchí · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
AD Sarchí are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.50 conceded, while Antioquia are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 3 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and AD Sarchí hold a 36.2-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 44.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.8% in the Liga de Ascenso, while AD Sarchí holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
AD Sarchí
Probability
56.8%
Model confidence
56.8%
AD Sarchí has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/2.50
GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/1.00