GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 8/27/2023, 5:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AD Sarchí · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

AD Sarchí are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while ADR Jicaral are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDD), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 80.3 against 80.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.0% in the Liga de Ascenso, while AD Sarchí holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AD Sarchí

Probability

41.0%

Model confidence

41.0%

AD Sarchí has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AD SarchíWWLLL

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
ADR JicaralDWWDD

GF 15 · GA 7 · avg 3.00/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
AD SarchíADR Jicaral
66.7Attack33.3
66.7Defence100.0
100.0Form100.0
80.3Power80.3
1.56xG1.26
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