GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 10/4/2025, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AD Sarchí · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

AD Sarchí are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while AD Cofutpa are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and AD Sarchí hold a 56.7-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.7% in the Liga de Ascenso, while AD Sarchí holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AD Sarchí

Probability

53.7%

Model confidence

53.7%

AD Sarchí has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AD SarchíDLDDW

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AD CofutpaLWLWD

GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
AD SarchíAD Cofutpa
66.7Attack33.3
66.7Defence33.3
100.0Form0.0
80.3Power23.7
1.95xG1.09
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