GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 1/20/2024, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AD Sarchí · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

AD Sarchí are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while AD Carmelita are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and AD Sarchí hold a 35.0-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.5% in the Liga de Ascenso, while AD Sarchí holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AD Sarchí

Probability

49.5%

Model confidence

49.5%

AD Sarchí has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AD SarchíLDLLW

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AD CarmelitaLWWWL

GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 5/5
AD SarchíAD Carmelita
66.7Attack66.7
66.7Defence33.3
100.0Form33.3
80.3Power45.3
1.88xG1.21
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