GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 9/10/2023, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Marineros de Puntarenas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

AD Cofutpa are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Marineros de Puntarenas are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Marineros de Puntarenas hold a 35.5-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 59.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.8% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Marineros de Puntarenas holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Marineros de Puntarenas

Probability

52.8%

Model confidence

52.8%

Marineros de Puntarenas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AD CofutpaWDLDD

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Marineros de PuntarenasDDDDL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 1/5
AD CofutpaMarineros de Puntarenas
33.3Attack61.8
33.3Defence59.8
0.0Form55.9
23.7Power59.1
1.11xG1.94
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