GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 2/11/2024, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AD Cofutpa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

AD Cofutpa are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Antioquia are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Antioquia hold a 20.4-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 44.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.3% in the Liga de Ascenso, while AD Cofutpa holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AD Cofutpa

Probability

39.3%

Model confidence

39.3%

AD Cofutpa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AD CofutpaDWWLW

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
AntioquiaDWLLL

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
AD CofutpaAntioquia
33.3Attack55.2
33.3Defence36.5
0.0Form40.6
23.7Power44.1
1.83xG1.67
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