GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 8/11/2024, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AD Sarchí · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

AD Cofutpa are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while AD Sarchí are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and AD Sarchí hold a 56.7-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.1% in the Liga de Ascenso, while AD Sarchí holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AD Sarchí

Probability

43.1%

Model confidence

43.1%

AD Sarchí has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AD CofutpaLWLWD

GF 16 · GA 7 · avg 3.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AD SarchíWLDDW

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AD CofutpaAD Sarchí
33.3Attack66.7
33.3Defence66.7
0.0Form100.0
23.7Power80.3
1.28xG1.66
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