AD CofutpavsAD Carmelita

AD Cofutpa are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while AD Carmelita are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and AD Carmelita hold a 21.7-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.4% in the Liga de Ascenso, while AD Carmelita holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.