GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 10/13/2024, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AD Carmelita · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

AD Cofutpa are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while AD Carmelita are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and AD Carmelita hold a 21.7-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.4% in the Liga de Ascenso, while AD Carmelita holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AD Carmelita

Probability

36.4%

Model confidence

36.4%

AD Carmelita has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AD CofutpaLLLDD

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
AD CarmelitaLLLLD

GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
AD CofutpaAD Carmelita
33.3Attack66.7
33.3Defence33.3
0.0Form33.3
23.7Power45.3
1.47xG1.54
View match centre →