AD CofutpavsAD Carmelita

AD Cofutpa are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 3.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while AD Carmelita are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and AD Carmelita hold a 21.7-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.4% in the Liga de Ascenso, while AD Carmelita holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.