GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 11/16/2025, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Santa Ana · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

AD Carmelita are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Santa Ana are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Santa Ana hold a 35.0-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.8% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Santa Ana holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Santa Ana

Probability

36.8%

Model confidence

36.8%

Santa Ana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AD CarmelitaDWDLD

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 0/5
Santa AnaWLWDD

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
AD CarmelitaSanta Ana
66.7Attack33.3
33.3Defence100.0
33.3Form100.0
45.3Power80.3
1.40xG1.50
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