GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 2/20/2025, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AD Carmelita · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

AD Carmelita are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while San Carlos FC are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 5.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and AD Carmelita hold a 22.0-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 23.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.1% in the Liga de Ascenso, while AD Carmelita holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AD Carmelita

Probability

70.1%

Model confidence

70.1%

AD Carmelita has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AD CarmelitaLDLDL

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
San Carlos FCLLLLL

GF 4 · GA 25 · avg 0.80/5.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
AD CarmelitaSan Carlos FC
66.7Attack39.6
33.3Defence1.0
33.3Form18.8
45.3Power23.3
2.85xG1.05
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