GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 10/18/2024, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AD Carmelita · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

AD Carmelita are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.80 conceded, while San Carlos FC are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and AD Carmelita hold a 22.0-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 23.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.1% in the Liga de Ascenso, while AD Carmelita holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AD Carmelita

Probability

70.1%

Model confidence

70.1%

AD Carmelita has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AD CarmelitaDLLLL

GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
San Carlos FCWWDLD

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
AD CarmelitaSan Carlos FC
66.7Attack39.6
33.3Defence1.0
33.3Form18.8
45.3Power23.3
2.85xG1.05
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