GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 8/10/2024, 8:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Quepos Cambute · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

AD Carmelita are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Quepos Cambute are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Quepos Cambute hold a 12.0-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 57.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.5% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Quepos Cambute holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Quepos Cambute

Probability

36.5%

Model confidence

36.5%

Quepos Cambute has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AD CarmelitaWDLLL

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Quepos CambuteWDLWW

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AD CarmelitaQuepos Cambute
66.7Attack66.7
33.3Defence66.7
33.3Form50.0
45.3Power57.3
1.47xG1.54
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