GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 3/11/2024, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Quepos Cambute · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

AD Carmelita are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Quepos Cambute are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Quepos Cambute hold a 12.0-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 57.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.5% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Quepos Cambute holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Quepos Cambute

Probability

36.5%

Model confidence

36.5%

Quepos Cambute has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AD CarmelitaLLLWD

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Quepos CambuteWDDLW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
AD CarmelitaQuepos Cambute
66.7Attack66.7
33.3Defence66.7
33.3Form50.0
45.3Power57.3
1.47xG1.54
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