GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 8/13/2023, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Quepos Cambute · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

AD Carmelita are 2W-1D-0L in their last 3 (WWD), averaging 2.33 scored and 0.67 conceded, while Quepos Cambute are 2W-1D-0L in their last 3 (WDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 6 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Quepos Cambute hold a 12.0-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 57.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.5% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Quepos Cambute holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Quepos Cambute

Probability

36.5%

Model confidence

36.5%

Quepos Cambute has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AD CarmelitaWWD

GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 2.33/0.67

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
Quepos CambuteWDW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/1.33

BTTS 3/3O2.5 3/3
AD CarmelitaQuepos Cambute
66.7Attack66.7
33.3Defence66.7
33.3Form50.0
45.3Power57.3
1.47xG1.54
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