GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 9/1/2023, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AD Carmelita · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

AD Carmelita are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Puerto Golfito are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and AD Carmelita hold a 36.0-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 9.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 79.3% in the Liga de Ascenso, while AD Carmelita holds the strongest overall chance at 79% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AD Carmelita

Probability

79.3%

Model confidence

79.3%

AD Carmelita has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AD CarmelitaLDDLW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Puerto GolfitoDLLLL

GF 2 · GA 13 · avg 0.40/2.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
AD CarmelitaPuerto Golfito
66.7Attack9.3
33.3Defence0.0
33.3Form1.9
45.3Power9.3
2.97xG0.69
View match centre →